Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.080944 0.093894 0.108053 0.124658 0.143569 0.164409 0.189084
2025-01-12 0.059021 0.075567 0.095301 0.120466 0.151583 0.188676 0.236104
2025-01-19 0.045298 0.063317 0.086516 0.118332 0.160546 0.214316 0.287619
2025-01-26 0.038510 0.058121 0.085104 0.124490 0.179961 0.254645 0.362005
2025-02-02 0.033231 0.053757 0.083733 0.129980 0.198617 0.295596 0.441530
2025-02-09 0.026832 0.046417 0.076707 0.125966 0.202772 0.316292 0.494510
2025-02-16 0.022512 0.041428 0.072257 0.124846 0.210565 0.342448 0.557403
2025-02-23 0.018682 0.036491 0.067009 0.121487 0.214071 0.361962 0.611545
2025-03-02 0.015736 0.032527 0.062698 0.118897 0.218189 0.382383 0.668476
2025-03-09 0.013865 0.030190 0.060822 0.120123 0.228622 0.413685 0.745432
2025-03-16 0.011703 0.026879 0.056635 0.116530 0.230034 0.429709 0.797889
2025-03-23 0.010876 0.026139 0.057205 0.121824 0.247927 0.475543 0.905160
2025-03-30 0.009688 0.024455 0.055744 0.123151 0.258861 0.510565 0.997468
2025-04-06 0.008279 0.022008 0.052352 0.120158 0.261157 0.530097 1.063629
2025-04-13 0.007196 0.020110 0.049830 0.118601 0.266058 0.554839 1.141453
2025-04-20 0.006825 0.019891 0.050993 0.125074 0.287982 0.614011 1.289227
2025-04-27 0.006427 0.019525 0.051759 0.130745 0.308773 0.672638 1.440462
2025-05-04 0.005509 0.017583 0.048488 0.126786 0.308424 0.688874 1.509328
2025-05-11 0.004870 0.016277 0.046564 0.125699 0.314209 0.718008 1.606239
2025-05-18 0.004209 0.014761 0.043858 0.122337 0.314431 0.735423 1.680299
2025-05-25 0.003671 0.013492 0.041591 0.119739 0.316083 0.755907 1.762179
2025-06-01 0.003347 0.012831 0.040865 0.120978 0.326928 0.797196 1.891297
2025-06-08 0.002893 0.011630 0.038427 0.117364 0.325553 0.811156 1.962075